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American Economic Review Vol. 90 No. 5 2000

Monetary Aggregates and Output

Scott Freeman1; Finn E. Kydland2

1 Department of Economics, University of Texas, Austin, TX 78712. · 2 Graduate School of Industrial Administration, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213.

Abstract

We ask whether the following observations may result from endogenously determined fluctuations in the money multiplier rather than a causal influence of money on output: (i) M1 is positively correlated with real output; (ii) the money multiplier and deposit-to-currency ratio are positively correlated with output; (iii) the price level is negatively correlated with output; (iv) the correlation of M1 with contemporaneous prices is substantially weaker than the correlation of M1 with real output; (v) correlations among real variables are essentially unchanged under different monetary-policy regimes; and (vi) real money balances are smoother than money-demand equations would predict.

DOI
10.1257/aer.90.5.1125
Volume
90
Issue
5
Pages
1125-1135
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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