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American Economic Review Vol. 109 No. 6 2019

Does Incomplete Spanning in International Financial Markets Help to Explain Exchange Rates?

Hanno Lustig1; Adrien Verdelhan2

1 Stanford Graduate School of Business, 355 Knight Way, Stanford, CA 94305 (email: ) · 2 MIT Sloan School of Management, 100 Main Street, E62-621, Cambridge, MA 02139 (email: )

open access

Abstract

We assume that domestic (foreign) agents, when investing abroad, can only trade in the foreign (domestic) risk-free rates. In a preference-free environment, we derive the exchange rate volatility and risk premia in any such incomplete spanning model, as well as a measure of exchange rate cyclicality. We find that incomplete spanning lowers the volatility of exchange rate, increases the risk premia but only by creating exchange rate predictability, and does not affect the exchange rate cyclicality.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20160409
Volume
109
Issue
6
Pages
2208-2244
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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