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American Economic Review Vol. 94 No. 4 2004

The Long and Short of the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement

Daniel Trefler

Joseph L. Rotman School of Management and Department of Economics, University of Toronto, 105 St. George Street, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5S 3E6, Canadian Institute for Advanced Research (CIAR), and the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).

Abstract

The Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement provides a unique window onto the effects of a reciprocal trade agreement on an industrialized economy (Canada). For industries that experienced the deepest Canadian tariff cuts, the contraction of low-productivity plants reduced employment by 12 percent while raising industry-level labor productivity by 15 percent. For industries that experienced the largest U.S. tariff cuts, plant-level labor productivity soared by 14 percent. These results highlight the conflict between those who bore the short-run adjustment costs (displaced workers and struggling plants) and those who are garnering the long-run gains (consumers and efficient plants).

DOI
10.1257/0002828042002633
Volume
94
Issue
4
Pages
870-895
Language
en
Sources
crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex

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