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American Economic Review Vol. 109 No. 1 2019

The Cyclicality of Sales, Regular and Effective Prices: Business Cycle and Policy Implications: Reply

Olivier Coibion1; Yuriy Gorodnichenko2; Gee Hee Hong3

1 Department of Economics, University of Texas-Austin, 2225 Speedway, BRB 3.156 C100, Austin, TX 87812 (email: ) · 2 Department of Economics, University of California-Berkeley, 530 Evans Hall #3880, Berkeley, CA 94720 (email: ) · 3 International Monetary Fund, 700 19th Street NW, Washington, DC 20431 (email: )

Abstract

We address how using different censoring thresholds and imputation procedures affects the baseline results of Coibion, Gorodnichenko, and Hong (2015). Higher censoring thresholds introduce measure ment error and outliers that generate wide variability in results across weighting schemes, but methods that explicitly control for outliers confirm the results of Coibion, Gorodnichenko, and Hong (2015) for all censoring thresholds. We also illustrate how the BLS’s approach to imputing missing prices can introduce a cyclical bias into measures of posted price inflation when store-switching is present in the data.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20171338
Volume
109
Issue
1
Pages
314-324
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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