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American Economic Review Vol. 91 No. 2 2001

Pitfalls of a Minimax Approach to Model Uncertainty

Christopher A. Sims

Department of Economics, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544-1021.

Abstract

(i) It does not always keep the normative analysis of decision-making distinct from its descriptive analysis, losing sight of the fact that these methods are appealing shortcut approximations, not improvements on, decision-making based on the Savage axioms. (ii) In all the existing applications to monetary policy it analyzes uncertainty about relatively unimportant aspects of models, while making strong, but actually uncertain, assumptions about other, more important aspects.

DOI
10.1257/aer.91.2.51
Volume
91
Issue
2
Pages
51-54
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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