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American Economic Review Vol. 93 No. 3 2003

Animal Spirits Through Creative Destruction

Patrick Francois1; Huw Lloyd-Ellis2

1 CentER, Tilburg University, The Netherlands, and Department of Economics, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada. · 2 Department of Economics, Queen's University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada K7L 3N6.

Abstract

We show how a Schumpeterian process of creative destruction can induce rational, herd behavior by entrepreneurs across diverse sectors as if fueled by “animal spirits.” Consequently, a multisector economy, in which productivity improvements are made by independent, profit-seeking entrepreneurs, exhibits regular booms, slowdowns, and downturns as part of the long-run growth process. Our cyclical equilibrium has higher average growth, but lower welfare than the corresponding acyclical one. We show how a negative relationship can emerge between volatility and growth across cycling economies, and assess the extent to which our model matches several features of actual business cycles.

DOI
10.1257/000282803322156972
Volume
93
Issue
3
Pages
530-550
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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