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American Economic Review Vol. 98 No. 1 2008

Vertical Arrangements, Market Structure, and Competition: An Analysis of Restructured US Electricity Markets

James Bushnell1; Erin T. Mansur2; Celeste Saravia1

1 University of California Energy Institute, 2547 Channing Way, Berkeley, CA 94720-5180. · 2 Yale School of Management, 135 Prospect Street, P.O. Box 208200, New Haven, CT 06520–8200, and National Bureau of Economic Research.

Abstract

This paper examines vertical arrangements in electricity markets. Vertically integrated wholesalers, or those with long-term contracts, have less incentive to raise wholesale prices when retail prices are determined beforehand. For three restructured markets, we simulate prices that define bounds on static oligopoly equilibria. Our findings suggest that vertical arrangements dramatically affect estimated market outcomes. Had regulators impeded vertical arrangements (as in California), our simulations imply vastly higher prices than observed and production inefficiencies costing over 45 percent of those production costs with vertical arrangements. We conclude that horizontal market structure accurately predicts market performance only when accounting for vertical structure.

DOI
10.1257/aer.98.1.237
Volume
98
Issue
1
Pages
237-266
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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