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American Economic Review Vol. 115 No. 1 2025

Five Facts about MPCs: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment

Johannes Boehm1; Etienne Fize2; Xavier Jaravel3

1 Geneva Graduate Institute and CEPR (email: ) · 2 Paris School of Economics, Institut des politiques publiques (email: ) · 3 LSE and CEPR (email: )

open access

Abstract

We present five facts from an experiment on the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) out of transitory transfers: (1) the one-month MPC on a cash-like transfer is 23 percent; (2) it is substantially higher (61 percent) on a transfer administered via a card where remaining funds expire after three weeks, inconsistent with money fungibility; (3) the consumption response is concentrated in the first three weeks; (4) MPCs vary with household characteristics but are high even for the liquid wealthy; (5) unconditional MPC distribution exhibits large variation. Our findings inform the design of stimulus policies and pose challenges to existing macroeconomic models.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20240138
Volume
115
Issue
1
Pages
1-42
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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