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American Economic Review Vol. 110 No. 1 2020

Diffusing Coordination Risk

Deepal Basak1; Zhen Zhou2

1 Indian School of Business (email: ) · 2 PBC School of Finance, Tsinghua University (email: )

open access

Abstract

In a regime change game, privately informed agents sequentially decide whether to attack without observing others’ previous actions. To dissuade them from attacking, a principal adopts a dynamic information disclosure policy, frequent viability tests. A viability test publicly discloses whether the regime has survived the previous attacks. When such tests are sufficiently frequent, in the unique cutoff equilibrium, agents never attack if the regime passes the latest test, regardless of their private signals. We apply this theory to demonstrate that a borrower can eliminate panic-based runs by sufficiently diffusing the rollover choices across different maturity dates.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20171034
Volume
110
Issue
1
Pages
271-297
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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