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American Economic Review Vol. 101 No. 5 2011

Did Household Consumption Become More Volatile?

Olga Gorbachev

Department of Economics, 406 Purnell Hall, University of Delaware, Newark, DE 19716.

open access

Abstract

I show that after accounting for predictable variation arising from movements in real interest rates, preferences and income shocks, liquidity constraints and measurement errors, volatility of household consumption in the US increased by 25 percent between 1970 and 2004. The increase was lower than that of volatility of family income. Nonwhite and those with less than 13 years of education, for whom there was no differential increase in income volatility, experienced a significantly larger increase in volatility of household consumption. Substantial differences in wealth and access to credit markets point to the main reason for this divide. JEL: D12, D14, E21, J15

DOI
10.1257/aer.101.5.2248
Volume
101
Issue
5
Pages
2248-2270
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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