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American Economic Review Vol. 110 No. 2 2020

Loss in the Time of Cholera: Long-Run Impact of a Disease Epidemic on the Urban Landscape

Attila Ambrus1; Erica Field1; Robert Gonzalez2

1 Department of Economics, Duke University (email: ) · 2 Department of Economics, University of South Carolina (email: )

open access

Abstract

How do geographically concentrated income shocks influence the long-run spatial distribution of poverty within a city? We examine the impact on housing prices of a cholera epidemic in one neighborhood of nineteenth century London. Ten years after the epidemic, housing prices are significantly lower just inside the catchment area of the water pump that transmitted the disease. Moreover, differences in housing prices persist over the following 160 years. We make sense of these patterns by building a model of a rental market with frictions in which poor tenants exert a negative externality on their neighbors. This showcases how a locally concentrated income shock can persistently change the tenant composition of a block.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20190759
Volume
110
Issue
2
Pages
475-525
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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