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American Economic Review Vol. 94 No. 5 2004

A Group Rule—Utilitarian Approach to Voter Turnout: Theory and Evidence

Stephen Coate1; Michael Conlin2

1 Department of Economics, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853. · 2 Department of Economics, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY 13244.

Abstract

This paper explores a group rule–utilitarian approach to understanding voter turnout, inspired by the theoretical work of John C. Harsanyi (1980) and Timothy J. Feddersen and Alvaro Sandroni (2002). It develops a model based on this approach and studies its performance in explaining turnout in Texas liquor referenda. The results are encouraging: the comparative static predictions of the model are broadly consistent with the data, and a structurally estimated version of the model yields reasonable coefficient estimates and fits the data well. The structurally estimated model also outperforms a simple expressive voting model.

DOI
10.1257/0002828043052231
Volume
94
Issue
5
Pages
1476-1504
Language
en
Sources
crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex

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