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American Economic Review Vol. 109 No. 2 2019

Equilibrium Provider Networks: Bargaining and Exclusion in Health Care Markets

Kate Ho1; Robin S. Lee2

1 Department of Economics, Princeton University, Julis Romo Rabinowitz Building, Princeton, NJ 08544, and NBER (email: ) · 2 Department of Economics, Harvard University, Littauer Center, Cambridge, MA 02138, and NBER (email: )

open access

Abstract

We evaluate the consequences of narrow hospital networks in commercial health care markets. We develop a bargaining solution, "Nash- in-Nash with Threat of Replacement," that captures insurers' incentives to exclude, and combine it with California data and estimates from Ho and Lee (2017) to simulate equilibrium outcomes under social, consumer, and insurer- optimal networks. Private incentives to exclude generally exceed social incentives, as the insurer benefits from substantially lower negotiated hospital rates. Regulation prohibiting exclusion increases prices and premiums and lowers consumer welfare without significantly affecting social surplus. However, regulation may prevent harm to consumers living close to excluded hospitals.

DOI
10.1257/aer.20171288
Volume
109
Issue
2
Pages
473-522
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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