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American Economic Review Vol. 101 No. 3 2011

Market Sentiment: A Tragedy of the Commons

Tarek A. Hassan1; Thomas M. Mertens2

1 Booth School of Business, University of Chicago, 5807 S. Woodlawn Ave., Chicago, IL 60637. · 2 Stern School of Business, New York University, 44 W Fourth St., Suite 9-73, New York NY 10012.

Abstract

We present a model in which investors decide whether or to what degree they want to allow their behavior to be influenced by “market sentiment.” Investors who choose to insulate their decisions from market sentiment earn higher expected returns, but incur a small mental cost. We show that if information is moderately dispersed across investors, even a very small mental cost may result in a significant amount of sentiment in equilibrium: Individuals who choose to be swayed by sentiment increase uncertainty about the future and make it less costly for others to be swayed by sentiment as well.

DOI
10.1257/aer.101.3.402
Volume
101
Issue
3
Pages
402-405
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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