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Contemporary Accounting Research Vol. 39 No. 4 2022

The Power of Numbers: Base‐Ten Threshold Effects in Reported Revenue*

Derrald Stice1; Earl K. Stice2; Han Stice3; Lorien Stice-Lawrence4

1 University of Hong Kong · 2 Brigham Young University · 3 Chinese University of Hong Kong · 4 University of Southern California

Abstract

We show that managers have a propensity to disproportionately report total revenues just above base‐ten thresholds (e.g., 10 million, 30 million, 1 billion) and examine motives for and consequences of this behavior. Focusing on base‐ten thresholds in revenues is important because, despite being unusually prevalent in revenue targets set in executive compensation contracts, analyst forecasts, and management forecasts, they have not been previously explored. We also show that pressure to beat these targets provides one explanation for the base‐ten bias in reported revenues. However, these incentive effects do not offer a complete explanation because base‐ten threshold‐beating is observed even in the absence of these explicit targets. We further find that when firms beat a base‐ten threshold for the first time, they experience increases in news coverage, institutional ownership, liquidity, and analyst following, even after controlling for whether they have beaten other common benchmarks. These results suggest that managers also beat base‐ten thresholds in order to increase their firms' overall visibility. Overall, we show that a preference for base‐ten numbers, which have no inherent economic meaning, has a measurable effect on the actions of market participants. These results open the door to a new range of managerial targets previously unexplored.

DOI
10.1111/1911-3846.12799
Volume
39
Issue
4
Pages
2903-2940
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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