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Econometrica Vol. 76 No. 6 2008

On the Failure of the Bootstrap for Matching Estimators

Alberto Abadie1,2; Guido W. Imbens1,3

1 Harvard University · 2 John F. Kennedy University · 3 Line Corporation (Japan)

open access

Abstract

Matching estimators are widely used in empirical economics for the evaluation of programs or treatments. Researchers using matching methods often apply the bootstrap to calculate the standard errors. However, no formal justification has been provided for the use of the bootstrap in this setting. In this article, we show that the standard bootstrap is, in general, not valid for matching estimators, even in the simple case with a single continuous covariate where the estimator is root-N consistent and asymptotically normally distributed with zero asymptotic bias. Valid inferential methods in this setting are the analytic asymptotic variance estimator of Abadie and Imbens (2006a) as well as certain modifications of the standard bootstrap, like the subsampling methods in Politis and Romano (1994).

DOI
10.3982/ecta6474
Volume
76
Issue
6
Pages
1537-1557
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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