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Econometrica Vol. 93 No. 3 2025

The Cost of Consumer Collateral: Evidence From Bunching

Benjamin Collier1; Cameron Ellis2; Benjamin J. Keys3,4

1 Fox School of Business, Temple University · 2 Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa · 3 The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania · 4 NBER

open access

Abstract

How do collateral requirements impact consumer borrowing behavior? Using administrative loan application and performance data from the U.S. Federal Disaster Loan Program, we exploit a loan amount threshold above which households must post their residence as collateral. Our bunching estimates suggest that the median borrower is willing to give up 40% of their loan amount to avoid posting collateral. Exploiting time variation in the threshold, we estimate collateral causally reduces default rates by 36%. Finally, we structurally estimate households' attachment to their homes, net of any equity, and find a median value of $11,000. Attachment creates a wedge between lender and borrower valuation of collateral of 15%. Our results explain high perceived default costs in the mortgage market, and document the importance of collateral for reducing moral hazard in consumer credit markets.

DOI
10.3982/ecta22303
Volume
93
Issue
3
Pages
779-819
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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