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Econometrica Vol. 83 No. 4 2015

Tight Revenue Bounds With Possibilistic Beliefs and Level-k Rationality

Jing Chen1; Silvio Micali2,3; Rafael Pass4

1 Stony Brook University · 2 IIT@MIT · 3 MIT Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory · 4 Cornell University

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Abstract

Mechanism design enables a social planner to obtain a desired outcome by leveraging the players’ rationality and their beliefs. It is thus a fundamental, but yet unproven, intuition that the higher the level of rationality of the players, the better the set of obtainable outcomes. In this paper, we prove this fundamental intuition for players with possibilistic beliefs, a model long considered in epistemic game theory. Specifically, • We define a sequence of monotonically increasing revenue benchmarks for single- good auctions, G0 ≤ G1 ≤ G2 ≤ · · ·, where each Gi is defined over the players’ beliefs and G0 is the second-highest valuation (i.e., the revenue benchmark achieved by the second-price mechanism). • We (1) construct a single, interim individually rational, auction mechanism that, without any clue about the rationality level of the players, guarantees revenue Gk if all players have rationality levels ≥ k + 1, and (2) prove that no such mechanism can guarantee revenue even close to Gk when at least two players are at most level-k rational.

DOI
10.3982/ecta12563
Volume
83
Issue
4
Pages
1619-1639
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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