← Search

Econometrica Vol. 90 No. 4 2022

Terrorism Financing, Recruitment, and Attacks

Nicola Limodio1,2

1 Department of Finance, BAFFI CAREFIN and IGIER, Bocconi University · 2 CEPR ,

Abstract

This paper investigates the effect of terrorism financing and recruitment on attacks. I exploit a Sharia‐compliant institution in Pakistan, which induces unintended and quasi‐experimental variation in the funding of terrorist groups through their religious affiliation. The results indicate that higher terrorism financing, in a given location and period, generate more attacks in the same location and period. Financing exhibits a complementarity in producing attacks with terrorist recruitment, measured through data from Jihadist‐friendly online fora and machine learning. A higher supply of terror is responsible for the increase in attacks and is identified by studying groups with different affiliations operating in multiple cities. These findings are consistent with terrorist organizations facing financial frictions to their internal capital market.

DOI
10.3982/ecta18530
Volume
90
Issue
4
Pages
1711-1742
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

Cite