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Econometrica Vol. 58 No. 6 1990

On the Possibility of Price Decreasing Bubbles

Philippe Weil1,2,3

1 Centre for Economic Policy Research · 2 National Bureau of Economic Research · 3 Université Libre de Bruxelles

Abstract

It is often argued that a rational bubble, because it is positive, must increase the price of a stock. This argument is not valid in general: as soon as bubbles affect interest rates, the fundamental value of a stock depends on whether or not a bubble is present. The existence of a rational bubble then might, by raising equilibrium interest rates, depress the fundamental to such an extent that the sum of the positive bubble and decreased fundamental falls short of the fundamental, no-bubble price. Under conditions made precise below, there can therefore be price decreasing bubbles, and an asset can be undervalued.

DOI
10.2307/2938325
Volume
58
Issue
6
Pages
1467
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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