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Econometrica Vol. 91 No. 5 2023

The Investment Effects of Market Integration: Evidence From Renewable Energy Expansion in Chile

Luis E. Gonzales1; Koichiro Ito2,3; Mar Reguant4,5,3

1 Centro Latinoamericano de Políticas Sociales y Económicas CLAPES UC, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile · 2 Harris School of Public Policy, University of Chicago () · 3 NBER · 4 Department of Economics, Northwestern University · 5 CEPR ,

open access

Abstract

We study the investment effects of market integration on renewable energy expansion. Our theory highlights that market integration not only improves allocative efficiency by gains from trade but also incentivizes new investment in renewable power plants. To test our theoretical predictions, we examine how recent grid expansions in the Chilean electricity market changed electricity production, wholesale prices, generation costs, and renewable investments. We then build a structural model of power plant entry to quantify the impact of market integration with and without the investment effects. We find that the market integration in Chile increased solar generation by around 180%, saved generation costs by 8%, and reduced carbon emissions by 5%. A substantial amount of renewable entry would not have occurred in the absence of market integration. Our findings suggest that ignoring these investment effects would substantially understate the benefits of market integration and its important role in expanding renewable energy.

DOI
10.3982/ecta20769
Volume
91
Issue
5
Pages
1659-1693
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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