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Econometrica Vol. 82 No. 2 2014

Macroeconomic Implications of Agglomeration

Morris A. Davis1; Jonas D. M. Fisher2; Toni M. Whited3,4

1 University of Wisconsin–Madison · 2 Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago · 3 Victim Support · 4 University of Rochester

Abstract

Cities exist because of the productivity gains that arise from clustering production and workers, a process called agglomeration. How important is agglomeration for aggregate growth? This paper constructs a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of cities and uses it to estimate the effect of local agglomeration on aggregate growth. We combine aggregate time-series and city-level panel data to estimate the model's parameters via generalized method of moments. The estimates imply a statistically and economically significant impact of local agglomeration on the growth rate of per capita consumption, raising it by about 10%.

DOI
10.3982/ecta9029
Volume
82
Issue
2
Pages
731-764
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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