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Econometrica Vol. 54 No. 1 1986

The Superneutrality of Money in the United States: An Interpretation of the Evidence

John Geweke

Abstract

[Structural and stochastic neutrality have refutable implications for aggregate economic time series only in conjunction with other maintained hypotheses. Simple and commonly employed maintained hypotheses lead to restrictions on measures of feedback and their decomposition by frequency. These restrictions also suggest an empirical interpretation of the notional long and short runs. It is found that a century of annual U.S. data, and postwar monthly data, consistently support structural superneutrality of money with respect to output and the real rate of return and consistently reject its superneutrality with respect to velocity. A quantitative characterization of the long run is suggested.]

DOI
10.2307/1914154
Volume
54
Issue
1
Pages
1
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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