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Econometrica Vol. 81 No. 3 2013

Land-Price Dynamics and Macroeconomic Fluctuations

Zheng Liu; Pengfei Wang; Tao Zha

Abstract

We argue that positive co-movements between land prices and business investment are a driving force behind the broad impact of land-price dynamics on the macroeconomy. We develop an economic mechanism that captures the co-movements by incorporating two key features into a DSGE model: We introduce land as a collateral asset in firms' credit constraints, and we identify a shock that drives most of the observed fluctuations in land prices. Our estimates imply that these two features combine to generate an empirically important mechanism that amplifies and propagates macroeconomic fluctuations through the joint dynamics of land prices and business investment.

DOI
10.3982/ecta8994
Volume
81
Issue
3
Pages
1147-1184
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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