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Econometrica Vol. 76 No. 5 2008

Testing Models of Low-Frequency Variability

Ulrich K. Müller; Mark W. Watson

Abstract

We develop a framework to assess how successfully standard time series models explain low-frequency variability of a data series. The low-frequency information is extracted by computing a finite number of weighted averages of the original data, where the weights are low-frequency trigonometric series. The properties of these weighted averages are then compared to the asymptotic implications of a number of common time series models. We apply the framework to twenty U.S. macroeconomic and financial time series using frequencies lower than the business cycle.

DOI
10.3982/ecta6814
Volume
76
Issue
5
Pages
979-1016
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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