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Econometrica Vol. 79 No. 5 2011

On the Dynamics of Unemployment and Wage Distributions

Jean–Marc Robin1,2,3

1 Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne · 2 Paris School of Economics · 3 Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Abstract

Postel-Vinay and Robin's (2002) sequential auction model is extended to allow for aggregate productivity shocks. Workers exhibit permanent differences in ability while firms are identical. Negative aggregate productivity shocks induce job destruction by driving the surplus of matches with low ability workers to negative values. Endogenous job destruction coupled with worker heterogeneity thus provides a mechanism for amplifying productivity shocks that offers an original solution to the unemployment volatility puzzle (Shimer (2005)). Moreover, positive or negative shocks may lead employers and employees to renegotiate low wages up and high wages down when agents' individual surpluses become negative. The model delivers rich business cycle dynamics of wage distributions and explains why both low wages and high wages are more procyclical than wages in the middle of the distribution.

DOI
10.3982/ecta9070
Volume
79
Issue
5
Pages
1327-1355
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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