← Search

Econometrica Vol. 83 No. 4 2015

Trade Credit and the Propagation of Corporate Failure: An Empirical Analysis

Tor Jacobson1; Erik von Schedvin

1 Swedish National Bank

open access

Abstract

We quantify the importance of trade credit chains for the propagation of corporate bankruptcies. Our results show that trade creditors (suppliers) that issue more trade credit are more exposed to trade debtor (customer) failures, both in terms of the likelihood of experiencing a debtor failure and the loss given failure. We further document that the credit loss invoked by a debtor failure imposes a substantially enhanced bankruptcy risk on the creditors. The propagation mechanism is mitigated for creditors that are less levered, cash rich, and highly profitable, and enhanced in R&D intense industries and during economic downturns.

DOI
10.3982/ecta12148
Volume
83
Issue
4
Pages
1315-1371
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

Cite