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Journal of Accounting Research Vol. 54 No. 4 2016

The Reluctant Analyst

Dan Bernhardt1; Chi Wan2; Zhijie Xiao3

1 University of Illinois and University of Warwick · 2 University of Massachusetts Boston · 3 Boston College

Abstract

We estimate the dynamics of recommendations by financial analysts, uncovering the determinants of inertia in their recommendations. We provide overwhelming evidence that analysts revise recommendations reluctantly, introducing frictions to avoid frequent revisions. More generally, we characterize the sources underlying the infrequent revisions that analysts make. Publicly available data matter far less for explaining recommendation dynamics than do the recommendation frictions and the long‐lived information that analysts acquire but the econometrician does not observe. Estimates suggest that analysts structure recommendations strategically to generate a profitable order flow from retail traders. We provide extensive evidence that our model describes how investors believe analysts make recommendations, and that investors value private information revealed by analysts' recommendations.

DOI
10.1111/1475-679x.12120
Volume
54
Issue
4
Pages
987-1040
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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