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Journal of Accounting Research Vol. 63 No. 1 2025

The Decision Relevance of Loan Fair Values for Depositors

Qi Chen1; Rahul Vashishtha1; Shuyan Wang2

1 Duke University · 2 University of Minnesota

open access

Abstract

Using a large sample of U.S. commercial banks from 1994 to 2019, we find that loan fair values are highly relevant for depositor decision making. A one‐standard‐deviation decrease in loan fair value performance is associated with more than 10% lower uninsured deposit flows than the sample average. Information in fair values about loan credit quality is quite limited and cannot account for the bulk of the relevance. Instead, consistent with models of bank fragility, the relevance seems to stem more from information on the decline in loan liquidation values, triggering panic‐based withdrawals motivated by (self‐fulfilling) expectations of withdrawals by other depositors. The findings inform the cost‐benefit tradeoff of reporting loan fair values.

DOI
10.1111/1475-679x.12564
Volume
63
Issue
1
Pages
207-254
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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