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Journal of Accounting Research Vol. 42 No. 2 2004

Information Transparency and Coordination Failure: Theory and Experiment

Regina M. Anctil1,2; John Dickhaut1,2; Chandra Kanodia1,2; Brian P. Shapiro3

1 University of Minnesota · 2 University of Minnesota System · 3 University of St. Thomas - Minnesota

Abstract

We examine the effect of higher order beliefs on the ability of decentralized decision makers to coordinate and take advantage of improvements in information transparency that can increase welfare. Theories that address this question have not been empirically explored. We study coordination in a laboratory experiment with privately informed decision makers. Economic outcomes in the setting depend both on agents' rational beliefs regarding economic fundamentals and on their rational beliefs regarding the beliefs of other agents. Increasing information transparency mitigates uncertainty about economic fundamentals but may increase strategic uncertainty, precipitating multiple equilibria and less efficient group outcomes. We provide evidence that sometimes the equilibrium attained by creditors is inferior from a welfare perspective to other available equilibria. Risk dominance appears to determine equilibrium selection in our setting.

DOI
10.1111/j.1475-679x.2004.00134.x
Volume
42
Issue
2
Pages
159-195
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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