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Journal of Accounting Research Vol. 57 No. 3 2019

Consequences of Debt Forgiveness: Strategic Default Contagion and Lender Learning

Gerardo Pérez-Cavazos

Harvard Business School

Abstract

I use a unique data set of loans to small business owners to examine whether lenders face adverse consequences when they grant debt forgiveness to borrowers. I provide evidence consistent with borrowers communicating their debt forgiveness to other borrowers, who then more frequently strategically default on their own obligations. This strategic default contagion is economically large. When the lender doubles debt forgiveness, the default rate increases by 10.9% on average. Using an exogenous shock to the lender's forgiveness policy, my findings suggest that as the lender learns about the extent of borrower communication the lender tightens its debt forgiveness policy to mitigate default contagion.

DOI
10.1111/1475-679x.12252
Volume
57
Issue
3
Pages
797-841
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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