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Journal of Accounting and Economics Vol. 79 No. 2-3 2025

Contract contingencies and uncertainty: Evidence from product market contracts

Kai Wai Hui1; Jun Oh2; Guoman She1; P. Eric Yeung3,4,5

1 University of Hong Kong · 2 Mitchell College · 3 Johnson & Johnson (United States) · 4 Cornell University · 5 SC Johnson (United States)

Abstract

We study contingencies written in firms' material product market contracts, focusing on the theoretical prediction of uncertainty as an important determinant. We identify contract contingencies from firms’ public regulatory filings and examine the effects of general business uncertainty and specific innovation-related uncertainty. To enhance causal inference, we utilize two major business shocks (i.e., the 2008 Financial Crisis and the COVID pandemic) and the diffusion of 29 disruptive innovation shocks (Bloom et al., 2021). We also explore the effects of re-negotiation costs and writing costs. Overall, our empirical results are consistent with predictions from dynamic models of incomplete contracting.

DOI
10.1016/j.jacceco.2024.101743
Volume
79
Issue
2-3
Pages
101743
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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