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Journal of Accounting and Economics Vol. 79 No. 2-3 2025

Global evidence on profit shifting within firms and across time

Fotis Delis1,2; Manthos D. Delis1; Luc Laeven3; Steven Ongena4

1 Audencia Business School · 2 Joint Research Center · 3 European Central Bank · 4 Swiss Finance Institute

Abstract

We provide estimates of profit shifting for over 2 million firm-year observations in 100 countries over the period 2009–2020. Employing nonparametric estimation techniques within a mainstay model of profit shifting, we examine how the profits of both parent and subsidiary firms within a multinational group respond to marginal changes in the composite tax indicator. The key advantage of this approach is that it yields firm-year estimates of profit shifting. Multinational firms engage in extensive profit shifting by maintaining affiliates in low-tax countries and zero-tax havens. Multinational groups with an ultimate tax-haven owner exhibit the largest profit response to tax incentives. Our new database opens important avenues for analyzing the sources and effects of profit shifting.

DOI
10.1016/j.jacceco.2024.101744
Volume
79
Issue
2-3
Pages
101744
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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