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Journal of Accounting and Economics Vol. 50 No. 1 2010

Post loss/profit announcement drift

Karthik Balakrishnan1; Eli Bartov2; Lucile Faurel3

1 University of Pennsylvania · 2 New York University · 3 University of California, Irvine

Abstract

We document a market failure to fully respond to loss/profit quarterly announcements. The annualized post portfolio formation return spread between two portfolios formed on extreme losses and extreme profits is approximately 21 percent. This loss/profit anomaly is incremental to previously documented accounting-related anomalies, and is robust to alternative risk adjustments, distress risk, firm size, short sales constraints, transaction costs, and sample periods. In an effort to explain this finding, we show that this mispricing is related to differences between conditional and unconditional probabilities of losses/profits, as if stock prices do not fully reflect conditional probabilities in a timely fashion.

DOI
10.1016/j.jacceco.2009.12.002
Volume
50
Issue
1
Pages
20-41
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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