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Journal of Accounting and Economics Vol. 63 No. 1 2017

Does managerial sentiment affect accrual estimates? Evidence from the banking industry

Paul Hribar1; Samuel J. Melessa1; R. Christopher Small2; Jaron H. Wilde1

1 University of Iowa · 2 University of Toronto

Abstract

We examine whether managerial sentiment is associated with errors in accrual estimates. Using public banks we find (1) managerial sentiment is negatively associated with loan loss provision estimates, (2) future charge-offs per dollar of provision are positively associated with sentiment when the provision is estimated, and (3) the effects of sentiment are greater for firms with more uncertain charge-offs. Results are similar for private banks, suggesting accrual manipulation related to capital market incentives is unlikely to explain the results. Although economic fundamentals explain most of the variation in the provision, we find sentiment has an incremental and economically meaningful effect.

DOI
10.1016/j.jacceco.2016.10.001
Volume
63
Issue
1
Pages
26-50
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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