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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 140 2022

The cash conversion cycle spread: International evidence

Catherine Huirong Chen1; Siu Kai Choy1; Yongxian Tan2,3

1 King's College London · 2 University of Otago · 3 Curtin University

Abstract

The cash conversion cycle (CCC) is important for fundamental analysis as an indicator of management effectiveness in cash and financing. However, there is a lack of empirical evidence for its implications on asset pricing except for the very recent findings that high CCCs negatively predict stock returns in the U.S. By investigating 47 developed and emerging markets from 1993 to 2018, we find a mild CCC effect across the globe. The Low-minus-High equal-weighted hedge portfolios sorted by components of CCC yield significant Fama-French five-factor alphas ranging from 0.277 to 0.730% per month. Our results are consistent with a mispricing explanation by analyzing earnings prediction, announcement returns around future earnings, and limits of arbitrage although there is also some evidence for a risk-based explanation. Moreover, the CCC effect is stronger in emerging markets than developed markets and for markets with more political risk and less integrated with the global market.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106517
Volume
140
Pages
106517
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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