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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 27 No. 6 2003

Pricing the risk of recovery in default with absolute priority rule violation

Haluk Unal; Dilip B. Madan1; Levent Güntay1

1 University of Maryland, College Park

Abstract

This paper proposes a simple approach to infer the risk-neutral density of recovery rates implied by the prices of the debt securities of a firm. The proposed approach is independent of modeling default arrival rates and allows for the violation of absolute priority rule. The paper demonstrates that a new statistic, the adjusted relative spread, captures risk-neutral recovery information in debt prices. Interest rates and firm tangible assets are shown to be significant determinants of the price of recovery. An application illustrates the pricing of credit derivatives written on the realized recovery rate.

DOI
10.1016/s0378-4266(02)00255-8
Volume
27
Issue
6
Pages
1001-1025
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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