← Search

Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 32 No. 10 2008

Developing a stress testing framework based on market risk models

Carol Alexander1,2,3; Elizabeth Sheedy1,2,3

1 ICMA Centre · 2 University of Reading · 3 Macquarie University

open access

Abstract

The Basel 2 Accord requires regulatory capital to cover stress tests, yet no coherent and objective framework for stress testing portfolios exists. We propose a new methodology for stress testing in the context of market risk models that can incorporate both volatility clustering and heavy tails. Empirical results compare the performance of eight risk models with four possible conditional and unconditional return distributions over different rolling estimation periods. When applied to major currency pairs using daily data spanning more than 20 years we find that stress test results should have little impact on current levels of foreign exchange regulatory capital.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.12.041
Volume
32
Issue
10
Pages
2220-2236
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib

Cite