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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 87 2018

Bid-to-cover and yield changes around public debt auctions in the euro area

Roel Beetsma1,2; Massimo Giuliodori2,1; Jesper Hanson1,3; Frank de Jong

1 University of Amsterdam · 2 Tinbergen Institute · 3 Ministry of Finance

Abstract

Earlier research has shown that euro-area primary public debt markets affect secondary markets. We find that more successful auctions of euro area public debt, as captured by higher bid-to-cover ratios, lead to lower secondary-market yields following the auctions. This effect is stronger when market volatility is higher. We rationalize both findings using a simple theoretical model of primary dealer behavior, in which the primary dealers receive a signal about the value of the asset auctioned.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2017.10.006
Volume
87
Pages
118-134
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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