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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 33 No. 11 2009

Credit spreads: An empirical analysis on the informational content of stocks, bonds, and CDS

Santiago Forte1; Juan Ignacio Peña2

1 Universitat Ramon Llull · 2 Universidad Carlos III de Madrid

open access

Abstract

This paper explores the dynamic relationship between stock market implied credit spreads, CDS spreads, and bond spreads. A general VECM representation is proposed for changes in the three credit spread measures which accounts for zero, one, or two independent cointegration equations, depending on the evidence provided by any particular company. Empirical analysis on price discovery, based on a proprietary sample of North American and European firms, and tailored to the specific VECM at hand, indicates that stocks lead CDS and bonds more frequently than the other way round. It likewise confirms the leading role of CDS with respect to bonds.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.04.015
Volume
33
Issue
11
Pages
2013-2025
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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