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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 35 No. 8 2011

Bank-specific shocks and the real economy

Claudia M. Buch1,2; Katja Neugebauer2

1 University of Tübingen · 2 Institute for Applied Economic Research

Abstract

Governments often justify interventions into the financial system in the form of bail outs or liquidity assistance with the systemic importance of large banks for the real economy. In this paper, we analyze whether idiosyncratic shocks to loan growth at large banks have effects on real GDP growth. We employ a measure of idiosyncratic shocks which follows Gabaix (forthcoming). He shows that idiosyncratic shocks to large firms have an impact on US GDP growth. In an application to the banking sector, we find evidence that changes in lending by large banks have a significant short-run impact on GDP growth. Episodes of negative loan growth rates and the Eastern European countries in our sample drive these results.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2011.01.023
Volume
35
Issue
8
Pages
2179-2187
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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