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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 32 No. 7 2008

Emerging market exchange rate exposure

Timothy K. Chue1; David Cook2

1 Hong Kong Polytechnic University · 2 Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

Abstract

We estimate the exposure of emerging market companies to fluctuations in their domestic exchange rates. We use an instrumental-variable approach that identifies the total exposure of a company to exchange rate movements, yet abstracts from the influence of confounding macroeconomic shocks. In the sub-period of 1999–2002, we find that depreciations tend to have a negative impact on emerging market stock returns. In the sub-period of 2002–2006, this tendency has largely disappeared. Since we estimate the exchange rate exposure of firms from different countries with a common set of instruments, we can make coherent, cross-country comparisons of their determinants. We find that the impact of various measures of debt on exchange rate exposure, which is negative and significant in the early sub-period, becomes insignificant and even reverses sign in the recent sub-period.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.11.005
Volume
32
Issue
7
Pages
1349-1362
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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