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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 36 No. 2 2012

The 1/N investment strategy is optimal under high model ambiguity

Georg Ch Pflug1; Alois Pichler1; David Wozabal1,2

1 University of Vienna · 2 Vienna University of Economics and Business

Abstract

The 1/N investment strategy, i.e. the strategy to split one’s wealth uniformly between the available investment possibilities, recently received plenty of attention in the literature. In this paper, we demonstrate that the uniform investment strategy is rational in situations where an agent is faced with a sufficiently high degree of model uncertainty in the form of ambiguous loss distributions. More specifically, we use a classical risk minimization framework to show that, for a broad class of risk measures, as the uncertainty concerning the probabilistic model increases, the optimal decisions tend to the uniform investment strategy. To illustrate the theoretical results of the paper, we investigate the Markowitz portfolio selection model as well as Conditional Value-at-Risk minimization with ambiguous loss distributions. Subsequently, we set up a numerical study using real market data to demonstrate the convergence of optimal portfolio decisions to the uniform investment strategy.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2011.07.018
Volume
36
Issue
2
Pages
410-417
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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