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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 32 No. 9 2008

Weather and intraday patterns in stock returns and trading activity

Shao-Chi Chang1; Sheng-Syan Chen2; Robin K. Chou3; Yueh-Hsiang Lin4

1 National Cheng Kung University · 2 National Taiwan University · 3 National Central University · 4 Takming University of Science and Technology

Abstract

We examine the relation between weather in New York City and intraday returns and trading patterns of NYSE stocks. While stock returns are found to be generally lower on cloudier days, cloud cover has a significant influence on stock returns only at the market open. There are significantly more seller-initiated trades when there is more cloud cover at the market open, which is consistent with the return results. Cloudy skies are associated with higher volatility and less market depth over the entire trading day. Finally, cloud cover is not significantly correlated with spread measures and turnover ratios. The findings overall suggest that weather has a significant influence on investors’ intraday trading behavior.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.12.007
Volume
32
Issue
9
Pages
1754-1766
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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