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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 35 No. 4 2011

The impact of European bank mergers on bidder default risk

Francesco Vallascas1,2; Jens Hagendorff3

1 University of Cagliari · 2 University of Leeds · 3 University of Edinburgh

open access

Abstract

We analyze the implications of European bank consolidation on the default risk of acquiring banks. For a sample of 134 bidding banks, we employ the Merton distance to default model to show that, on average, bank mergers are risk neutral. However, for relatively safe banks, mergers generate a significant increase in default risk. This result is particularly pronounced for cross-border and activity-diversifying deals as well as for deals completed under weak bank regulatory regimes. Also, large deals, which pose organizational and procedural hurdles, experience a merger-related increase in default risk. Our results cast doubt on the ability of bank merger activity to exert a risk-reducing and stabilizing effect on the European banking industry.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.09.001
Volume
35
Issue
4
Pages
902-915
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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