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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 34 No. 8 2010

Is gold a safe haven? International evidence

Dirk G. Baur1,2; Thomas K. J. McDermott3

1 Dublin City University · 2 University of Technology Sydney · 3 Trinity College Dublin

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to examine the role of gold in the global financial system. We test the hypothesis that gold represents a safe haven against stocks of major emerging and developing countries. A descriptive and econometric analysis for a sample spanning a 30year period from 1979 to 2009 shows that gold is both a hedge and a safe haven for major European stock markets and the US but not for Australia, Canada, Japan and large emerging markets such as the BRIC countries. We also distinguish between a weak and strong form of the safe haven and argue that gold may act as a stabilizing force for the financial system by reducing losses in the face of extreme negative market shocks. Looking at specific crisis periods, we find that gold was a strong safe haven for most developed markets during the peak of the recent financial crisis.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.12.008
Volume
34
Issue
8
Pages
1886-1898
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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