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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 160 2024

Shadow loans and regulatory arbitrage: Evidence from China

Amanda Liu1; Ilhyock Shim2

1 Formerly at Bank for International Settlements, 78th floor, Two International Finance Centre, 8 Finance Street, Central, Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China · 2 Bank for International Settlements

Abstract

This paper examines how Chinese banks used on-balance sheet shadow loans for regulatory arbitrage and whether the financial market priced in the banks’ use of shadow loans and the resulting vulnerabilities in 2014–2022. It finds that banks chose to window dress their regulatory capital ratio by using shadow loans when their capital adequacy ratio was close to the regulatory minimum. It also shows that banks with a higher shadow loan ratio or a lower breakeven non-performing loan ratio obtained from reverse stress testing faced higher wholesale funding costs. Finally, after the announcement of a rare bank failure event, more vulnerable banks witnessed lower cumulative stock and bond returns.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107091
Volume
160
Pages
107091
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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