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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 122 2021

Country governance and international equity returns

Ben R. Marshall1; Hung T. Nguyen1; Nhut H. Nguyen2; Nuttawat Visaltanachoti1

1 Massey University · 2 Auckland University of Technology

Abstract

Monthly returns in countries with strong governance lead monthly returns in weak governance countries. This predictability holds in and out-of-sample at both the group and individual country levels. Moreover, the predictability is not fully explained by other related possible sources of cross-country predictability such as differences in country development, political risk, size, liquidity, short-selling constraints, the predictive ability of U.S. equity returns, or non-synchronous trading. It appears that equity returns in different countries react to value-relevant world information at different speeds based on their levels of country governance.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2020.105986
Volume
122
Pages
105986
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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