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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 147 2023

Does macroprudential policy alleviate the adverse impact of COVID-19 on the resilience of banks?

Deniz Igan1; Ali Mirzaei2; Tomoe Moore3

1 Bank for International Settlements · 2 American University of Sharjah · 3 Brunel University of London

open access

Abstract

This paper examines the resilience of banks as perceived by market participants during the COVID-19 crisis. We analyse how bank stock returns during January-March 2020 relate to the pre-crisis activation of macroprudential policy across 52 countries in a cross-sectional dimension. We find that, overall, a tighter macroprudential policy stance is beneficial for bank systemic risk, as assessed by equity market investors. A robust finding is that a perceived decrease in bank risk stems primarily from the use of credit growth limits, reserve requirements, and dynamic provisioning. By contrast, a pre-crisis build-up of capital surcharges on systemically important financial institutions seems to lower bank stock returns. Alternative bank risk indicators suggest that the latter is likely to be driven by concerns about profits rather than the probability of default.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106419
Volume
147
Pages
106419
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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