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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 36 No. 9 2012

Bank profitability during recessions

Wilko Bolt1; Leo de Haan; Marco Hoeberichts1; Maarten R. C. van Oordt; Job Swank2,1

1 De Nederlandsche Bank · 2 Erasmus University Rotterdam

Abstract

This paper contributes to the literature on the relation between bank profitability and economic activity. When allowing for stronger co-movement of bank profit with economic activity during deep recessions, we find a much larger impact of output growth on bank profitability than commonly found in the literature. Among the different components of bank profit, loan losses are the main driver of this result. We also find long-term interest rates in previous years to be important determinants of bank profit in times of high economic growth. Our findings are robust to the use of aggregate or individual bank data.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.05.011
Volume
36
Issue
9
Pages
2552-2564
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib

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